Football Betting Tips – Bristol City v Nottingham Forest
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After the success of our World Cup ‘Best Bets' program, we are continuing on the model for full 2018/19 season. ‘Best Bets' is a member only service, providing:
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Insights and News
An interesting opinion piece on why Salford City spending big bucks in the conference is not necessarily the issue at hand. With only four sides still part-time, yet all fighting for just one automatic promotion place (plus the play-offs), the question is asked whether the current promotion setup is appropriate for the modern game. Compare that with four up and four down in League One / Two and you can see the issue quite clearly.
Ahead of the new season, Pinnacle have compiled some useful analysis around how to bet on “promoted teams”
- 41.6% of teams are relegated in their first season in Serie A, while only 17.39% are in La Liga
- 58.33% Serie A, 54.16% in Ligue 1 and 50% in the Premier League are relegated within 3 seasons
Three seasons ago Burnley, Boro and Hull came up and the latter two are already well ensconced back in the Championship. Two season ago, Newcastle, Brighton and Huddersfield came up and stayed up and are now entering their second Premier League season. Cardiff, Fulham and Wolves obviously came up this year, so out of those six you'd have to think at least two of those could be primed for relegation based on the above statistics. Fulham and Wolves are spending big and well, so I'd plump for Cardiff, Huddersfield and potentially Brighton to go down this year. The first two are the top two favourites respectively, but their could be some value in Brighton 2/1 and even potentially Newcastle at 5/1
Match Analysis
Bristol City vs Nottingham Forest
Ashton Gate, Saturday 4th August, Kick-off: 15:00 BST
Key stats:
– Bristol City have won this previous fixture the last four times (2-0, twice and 2-1, twice)
– 33% of the last 12 meetings have ended with both teams scoring
– Neither team has scored more than two goals in the last 10 meetings
– Forest scored the seventh least amount of goals in the Championship last year (51), however, attacking signings including Joao Carvalho and Lewis Grabban could change their fortune
– Bobby Reid scored 19 goals last campaign – third most in the league – however, he has now made a summer move to Cardiff.
Analysis:
An interesting year lies ahead for Forest. Aitor Karanka is building a side worthy of a push towards the playoffs; a novelty for Forest fans after years of mid-table obscurity. The Spaniard is known for his defensive stubbornness, and with a whole pre-season under his belt expect a solid shape from his side in the 2018-19 season. Attacking signings are a positive step forwards for the East Midlands side, coupled with a defence that is expected to prove hard to penetrate, things are on the up. As ever, though, the opening game of the season won’t tend to reflect the campaign as a whole – especially in such a competitive league.
How Bristol City cope with the loss of top goalscorer Bobby Reid will be crucial to their league potential. With 19 goals, the now Cardiff striker will be hard to replace. Signings including Mo Eisafrom Cheltenham will look to fill that void; 25 goals in 30 games for the Robins last season caught the eye of City, rightfully so.
Forest have performed well in pre-season. Wins to nil over Malaga and Scunthorpe without conceding have strengthened Karanka’s defensive hand. He will pride himself on opening the season with a clean sheet, against a Lee Johnson’s side who may be missing that little something up front.
Recommended Bet: available to Best Bet Members only
Best Bet
Released to members on Friday, 3rd August
Value Bet
Released to members on Friday, 3rd August
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Jon is the Founder and Chief Tipster at Football Advisor and Predictoloy. He started life as data analyst in the digital marketing field before find his true calling in the world of Football and Horse Racing Betting.
Jon has been sharing his professional expertise since 2009 and specialises in using objective data analysis and subjective experience of betting built up over more than a decade of professional betting.
In 2014, Jon also launched (and continues to run) the trusted Football Advisor service service which provides a variety of football and horse racing betting models and portfolios. A few years later, Jon launched the Predictology platform which is the worlds first betting system builder and analyser covering a wealth of football betting related statistics covering more than 200,000 matches.
Jon has also lent his knowledge and expertise to several of the trusted Premium Services offered by the respected Secret Betting Club, including Football Lay Profits. Racing Bet Profits and, most recently, Racing Lay Profits.
