World Cup Betting: Day 6
This article was first published to the Ultimate Stats Betting Pack, World Cup group
A copy of the Ultimate Stats Betting Pack for the 2018 World Cup in Russia available here.
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The Sweden – South Korea played out pretty much as expected. It was a game of few chances and could quite easily have finished nil nil had it not been for the intervention of VAR to award Sweden a penalty. The referee had missed it / ignored it and, in fairness, it probably was a penalty. But the sheer number of penalties being given now is a concern, and what is and is not been given is inconsistent.
Take the England – Tunisia game. ‘Probably' a penalty but it was a very soft one – I ask you, who is really at fault here, Walker for having is arm up and not looking where the player is or the Tunisian for basically deliberately running into it – it's really no different to a dive in my book or looking for the tackle with your trailing leg (probably worse). England would (and probably should have anyway) won this comfortably were it not for that penalty. While on the same theme, how did England not get two penalties, or more, in return. Kane was Rugby tackled and VAR even looked at it and nothing given – how is that even possible I'll never know.
Whinge over, let's take a look at Day 6 where we see the final round 1 group games completed plus the first games of round 2 in Group A.
(Note: all recommended bets are 1 unit / point stake unless clearly stated)
World Cup Day 7 – Best Bet
Similar to South Korea, this feel like a poor iteration of the Japenese compared to previous tournaments. They change manager in April, losing two in three since then and I just don't fancy them at all here against a positive Colombia side.
Colombia are unbeaten in four, including a win over the French and with the likes of James and a resurgent Falcao in the side, they'll be looking to make a positive start here and take control of the group. We've seen a few surprise results so far from the ‘bigger' nations, but I don't see one happening here.
Colombia also beat Japan 4-1 at the 2014 World Cup.
Colombia win at 1.70
Today's other World Cup games;
This could be a really interesting match with both carrying dark horse potential. Poland perhaps edge it on star power and form, particularly with Lewandowski in their ranks, who top scored in World Cup qualifying with 16 goals. Although he only managed one in five at Euro 16.
Poland won 8 of their 10 qualifiers to get here and have average scoring 2 goals a game across 28 games since 2015.
There is a huge amount riding on this game for both sides, with Japan and Colombia also in the group, and this could be another tight match decided by fine margins and / or our friend VAR.
Russia v Egypt
Russia got off to a near perfect start putting five past a shambolic Saudi Arabia side. It will be interesting to see now how much of that result was down to the Russians and how much was down to just how poor SA was, as they face an Egypt side who know they must take something from this game to keep any hopes alive of qualifying for the next round.
After missing the game against Uruguay, there is hope that Salah will make a return here. They put in a spirited performance against Uruguay and would have been very deflating to lose the game in the closing minutes.
Egypt generally don't concede many or lose by big score lines, so they are well within a shout of taking something from this game. Expect a slow and cagey start, which may opening up in the final third of the game if the scores are still tied.
This article was first published to the Ultimate Stats Betting Pack, World Cup group
A copy of the Ultimate Stats Betting Pack for the 2018 World Cup in Russia available here.
Jon is the Founder and Chief Tipster at Football Advisor and Predictoloy. He started life as data analyst in the digital marketing field before find his true calling in the world of Football and Horse Racing Betting.
Jon has been sharing his professional expertise since 2009 and specialises in using objective data analysis and subjective experience of betting built up over more than a decade of professional betting.
In 2014, Jon also launched (and continues to run) the trusted Football Advisor service service which provides a variety of football and horse racing betting models and portfolios. A few years later, Jon launched the Predictology platform which is the worlds first betting system builder and analyser covering a wealth of football betting related statistics covering more than 200,000 matches.
Jon has also lent his knowledge and expertise to several of the trusted Premium Services offered by the respected Secret Betting Club, including Football Lay Profits. Racing Bet Profits and, most recently, Racing Lay Profits.