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Betting Stats & Trends

  • Friday
    • Fulham have conceded 2+ 6 away games
  • Saturday
    • At. Bilbao have seen under 2.5 in their last 7 home games
    • Ipswich have conceded 2+ goals in their last 15 away games
    • Bristol City have won their last 7 games
  • Sunday
    • Dortmund have scored 2+ in their last 11 home games
    • E. Frankfurt have drawn their last 4 games
    • Reims have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 8 away games

Match Analysis

Chelsea vs Man City, League Cup Final, Wembley Stadium

Sunday 24th February, Kick-off: 16:30

Key stats:

  • None of the last five meetings have finished in both teams scoring
  • Either Chelsea or Man City have won four of the last five League Cups
  • Man City won the last meeting at Wembley 2-0 in the Community Shield last August
  • Under 2.5 goals in four of the last five meetings
  • Chelsea have lost their last three matches at Wembley Stadium
  • Man City won this fixture 6-0 a fortnight ago

Analysis:

To say Chelsea are going through a “difficult moment” currently would be an understatement. There is a growing concern around Stamford Bridge that Sarri is not the man to lead Chelsea to further successes, with his dogmatic notion of Sarriball under scrutiny from the Chelsea faithful.

A refusal to move away from the 4-3-3 system even when losing 2-0 to Man United with ten minutes to go was a milestone in stubbornness for the Italian. A substitution replacing Azpilcueta for Zappacosta (two right backs) was greeted with anger inside Stamford Bridge, with the Blues unlikely to gain their needed two goals from such a change.

Chelsea look void of any real invention up front, and with a 6-0 drubbing to their final opponents fresh in their memory, it will take a monster effort to get a positive result inside Wembley Stadium on Sunday.

Man City are buoyant after an incredible Champions League win in Schalke. Two late goals by Sane and Sterling with just ten men gave them a big advantage ahead of their return match at the Etihad. Their winning mentality is back, with Pep looking robust in this critical stage in the season.

City have won three of the last five League Cups, having bested Arsenal, Liverpool and Sunderland in Wembley finals; Pep still has dreams of scooping four trophies this season so won’t be taking Sunday’s final lightly.

Sarri will be clinging onto the first 5 minutes in their 6-0 loss to City. As crazy as that sounds, Chelsea’s game plan wasn’t the problem at the Etihad, more individual errors and lapses in concentration. If Sarri’s side play with conviction and restraint, they’ll make this final competitive. Let’s not forget, they beat City 2-0 in December.

Chelsea are still Chelsea: capable of beating anyone on their day. This notion, however, is looking harder to prove in the big games. I can’t see anything but a first trophy of the season for Mr. Guardiola.

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It is designed to be a really easy and enjoyable service to follow along with just a couple of emails a week and a handful of well researched and supported bets recommended to you each week. If this sounds like something you'd enjoy why not join us for the full European season for just £9.95 a month or £77  £37 for the whole season.


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